2022 Airfare Trends

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If you can hold off on traveling until winter, you could save as much as 80% on airfare

Booked your Christmas or New Year’s flights, yet? Get ready to pay dearly. Scott Keyes at Scott’s Cheap Flights says Christmas is the most expensive time to travel. 

“It’s no secret that winter holidays aren’t a cheap time to travel, but December 18 through January 7 is probably the single most expensive three-week period of the entire year,” he told ConsumerAffairs.

“On occasion, there are cheap flights during this stretch, but the best deals—like $252 roundtrip to the Bahamas over Christmas—were available six months ago, not for last-minute purchase.”

Examples? Sure – here’s some that Keyes gave ConsumerAffairs and some we found on our own at Google Flights. Note: these prices were valid at the time of this article being published, but since airfares are based on inventory, things could change quickly.

Seattle to Honolulu: Dec 23-30: $1,078...Jan 16-23: $198

Atlanta to New York City (NYC): Dec 23-30: $271… Jan 15-22: $88

Los Angeles to Boston: Dec 22-29: $889...Jan 11-18: $138

Nashville to Paris: Dec 20-28: $1,913…Jan 18-24: $608

Cincinnati to Phoenix: Dec 22-29: $398…Jan 18-25: $138

NYC to Dublin: Dec 21-28: $1,660...Jan 9-16: $406

Charlotte to San Francisco: Dec 21-28: $399…Jan 17-24: $145

Houston to Cancún: Dec 27-Jan 3: $852...Jan 17-24: $191

Early 2023 will be a lot cheaper

If the price of airfare is a deal breaker, you might want to think about going early in the new year. Just like candy going on sale right after Halloween, Keyes said the same holds true with flights every year after Christmas and New Year, making January and February the cheapest months of the year.

“What makes winter so strange and delightful is the swing—virtually overnight on January 8 or so—from the most expensive three-week period to the two absolute cheapest months of the entire year,” he said, pointing out that pushing your trip back from Christmas time to mid-January could save you as much as 80%.

Another plus for going in early 2023 is that there are significantly more last-minute options.

“Cheap last-minute Christmas flights are oxymoronic. Cheap last-minute January flights are not just real, they’re spectacular,” Keyes said. “And they’re abundant right now. In fact, for procrastinators, there’s probably no better time all year to get a cheap late ticket than for travel in January or February.”

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Both the airline and the traveler win from add-on fees, a new report suggests

The newest airline ancillary revenue report is out and, boy, oh, boy, are the airlines making bank off of those little ancillary fees.

Adding together fees for baggage, seat selection, and boarding priority along with commissions gained from hotel bookings and the sale of frequent flier miles to partners, those cha-chings are on track to hit $102.8 billion worldwide in 2022, compared to $65.8 billion in 2021.

The report – prepared by CarTrawler, the leading provider of online car rental distribution systems, and IdeaWorksCompany, the foremost consultant on ancillary revenue, says there’s actually a double benefit of ancillary revenue: one that creates a stable income source for airlines while also contributing to lower fares for consumers. 

“Airlines generate indirect and direct sales, such as buy-on-board meals and more leg room, from ancillary revenue activity. When customers use a co-branded credit card or book car hire at an airline website, this generates indirect revenue. Partners share a portion of the sales generated from these activities with an airline,” Jay Sorensen, president, IdeaWorksCompany, told ConsumerAffairs.

The report claims that airlines have turned to generating ancillary revenue mostly out of competitive necessity, but again suggests that the result has also lowered the overall cost of travel for consumers.

For example, the 2013 global average one-way fare was $306.20, plus optional extras at $9.64, for a combined consumer cost of $315.84. Jumping to 2022, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) projected a one-way fare had decreased to $140.69. Adding in all the available optional extras at $17.68, the final total winds up at $158.37 – a 50% inflation-adjusted reduction over ten years.

Airlines still need to make sure the consumer’s business is valued

The U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) has made no bones about its dissatisfaction with certain airlines and how they treat their customers. Recently, the agency wrote $600 million worth of refund checks and fined six airlines for failing to honor their refund obligations.

But with as much value as the ancillary revenue system means to airlines, the study’s analysts say that airlines need to make sure the consumer gets their respect, too.

In Sorensen’s opinion, the very best airline practitioners will create consumer-facing strategies like offering bundles using a “good, better, and best” approach to speed the shopping process, and only describe bundled savings that are legitimate.

That would certainly make the DOT happy – and none too soon. The agency plans on having all of its efforts on fare transparency wrapped up and making a new rule by the first of the year.

That rule – if enacted – would significantly strengthen protections for consumers by ensuring any fees charged to seat a young child with an accompanying adult, change or cancel a flight, or travel with a first checked bag, a second checked bag, or a carry-on bag would be disclosed whenever fare and schedule information is provided for flights to, within, and from the United States. 

Online airfare sellers will have to get in step with the rule, too. The department also wants to require that airlines provide usable, current, and accurate information to ticket agents so that they can display the carrier’s fare and schedule information, as well.

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Wanna getaway? Some holiday travel deals are OMG-worthy, but time is of the essence.

Travel deals for the remainder of 2022 are starting to percolate. But in some situations, it’s get-’em-while-you-can because the window of opportunity may close quickly. Here’s a compilation of the best offers and suggestions ConsumerAffairs found for anyone thinking about going somewhere.

Is this your last chance to save on airfares?

For holiday travelers, time is ticking! So say the folks at Hopper, the airfare booking app. If you don’t book by October 20, Hopper says airfares could surge as the number of available seats starts to shrink. 

According to Hopper’s Last Chance to Save Report, this holiday season is shaping up to be an expensive one – with Christmas airfares up higher than in the past five years and Thanksgiving prices expected to peak well over $450 at the last minute.

Holiday airfares have dropped in recent weeks. However, these deals won’t last long. Hopper’s experts say mid-October is the sweet spot to book holiday travel – while prices are low and deals are still available to many top destinations. 

How are holiday prices trending? Hopper shared these insights with ConsumerAffairs.

  • Thanksgiving: Domestic airfare for Thanksgiving is currently averaging $290 round-trip, in line with 2019 prices but up 24% compared to last year. 

    Airfare will rise $10 per day from the end of October through Thanksgiving; peaking at over $450 for last-minute tickets. 
  • Christmas: Domestic airfare for Christmas is averaging $430 round-trip this week, up 17% compared to 2019 and 53% higher than last year. 

    Flight prices will rise slowly into November, before spiking $10 per day from mid-November until the holiday; peaking at over $580 for last-minute airfare.

Don’t snooze on cruise deals

For travelers who want a break from fall and winter’s impending cold, they could give themselves their own holiday gift with a short 2-, 3-, or 4-night cruise that’s priced to go.

Such is especially true at Royal Caribbean which was recently pushing out $89 per person fares for the first two weeks of November and December. And, by all accounts, time really is of the essence if you want a cruise before 2023 kicks in. 

The key element in finding a hard-to-believe cruise fare is pouncing on it when cruises pass their final payment date, which is 90 days prior to sailing.

“When Royal Caribbean gets past the point of final payment, they get a good sense of how booked (or unbooked) a sailing is and responds accordingly to fill up the rest of the ship,” wrote cruise blogger Matt Hochberg.

When ConsumerAffairs looked at some of Royal Caribbean’s peer cruise lines, others were holding flash sales too, and at hard-to-pass-up rates for the remainder of the year. For example, we saw deep price cuts at Celebrity (save up to 75% + free drinks, and Wi-Fi) and Norwegian ($82 a night with an open bar). 

Airbnb vs. hotels

Given that lodging can consume over 20% of your budget, deciding on a hotel or an Airbnb rental could be a prime factor. Studies by both UpgradedPoints and Price4Limo give the edge to Airbnb.

Airbnb seems to have the U.S. advantage in the UpgradedPoints study and a considerable amount of the foreign advantage in the Price4Limo study. There are a few overseas differences where hotels have a slight advantage in the savings department – primarily in Asia and Australia, but hotels in Dublin and Madrid also have the savings edge for travelers going to Europe. 

The Price4Limo analysts said that renting a whole house can be a particularly good bargain if a family is going on vacation together. One case-in-point they made was San Francisco, where renting an entire house via Airbnb is only 5.4% more expensive than the average San Francisco Airbnb listing (inclusive of entire homes, single rooms, hotel listing, etc). 

Rental car situation improving – and may be a better deal than flying

Time is of the essence in finding a good deal on rental cars, too. Ludwig Schoenack, co-founder of Kyte – a company that hand-delivers rental cars across the U.S. -- including to college campuses – told ConsumerAffairs that most rental car companies have early bird offers customers can take advantage of as soon as they know what their holiday travel plans are.

“Prices usually hike the closer your travel dates are. When it comes to the holidays, it’s best to plan in early fall,” Schoenack said.

One suggestion Schoenack made that travelers might not consider, but could save them some extra dough, is by opting out of the insurance add-on.

“Insurance is an important step and a product of one's own risk appetite, but make sure you’re not duplicating coverage if you are covered already. This is a common mistake that travelers make,” he added.

One thing that many consumers might not weigh out is renting a car or hopping on an airplane to use as their vacation mode of transportation.

“Flights are best when you’re traveling to a city where you don’t need a car upon arrival – but more often than not, a car on the ground can help make travel more seamless, especially if you’re unfamiliar with the landscape, even in dense cities,” Schoenack said. 

He made another point about travelers who like to explore. Cars come in especially handy because they provide flexibility during a trip, like if someone wants to stop at a certain park or attraction between their starting point and destination.

A car rental might also have a plus for college students who Mom and Dad want home for the holidays. For example, students who go to school in the Boston area and want to travel to Sarasota where the family is gathering for Thanksgiving are faced with airfare that’s nearly $300 more the two days before Thanksgiving Thursday.

Comparatively, renting a car could be a much better deal especially if there are a couple of other students who are headed in the same direction and willing to split the cost. 

The growing value of the US dollar vs. the Euro

Since 2002, the U.S. dollar hasn’t performed well against the euro, but it’s got the euro beat, albeit slightly, for now.

At publication, a dollar was worth $1.03 against the euro – essentially an incredibly easy way to calculate tit for tat, dollar vs.euro.

“With the strong dollar to the euro exchange, Americans will see a nearly 15% discount on purchases compared to the same time last year,” said ThePointsGuy’s Melissa Klurman. 

“That means once you arrive in Paris, Amsterdam, Rome, or any other city in the 19-country European Union, you’ll be able to make purchases without running conversion charts in your head or worrying about the built-in markup on everything.”

Fly “anywhere” and save big

There's a little-known Google Flights feature that is a mighty tool for people who are looking for a great deal to go just somewhere where they may have never been.

In Google Flights' "Explore" mode, you can pick your choice of departure city and when you’d like to go (i.e. a 1-week trip in the next 6 months), then let Google Flights do its thing and find you ultra-low fares as you scroll from one continent to another.

For example, flying out of Nashville to go “somewhere/anywhere” in the next six months, there were roundtrip fares to Lisbon for $536, London for $675, Maui for $475, and Seattle for $175.

Moving west, ConsumerAffairs discovered that people in Denver can go to Machu Picchu for $577, Miami for $77, Paris for $544, and Sydney for $1,022 – with that trip down under half the price it would be if you were going the first of November.

Remember: a deal isn't always a deal

As you hunt down travel deals, keep in mind that there are hidden fees and fine print that may come out to bite you at the end of the process. 

Airlines: The White House is on the case about fee transparency with airlines, but nothing has officially changed yet. Until every single fare is mandated to be clear as a bell, make sure you understand what fares are refundable, what you'll pay for seats, bags, position in the boarding line, etc.

Hotels and vacation rentals: Hotels may try to slap on "resort fees" so when you're booking online, scour each page you click on because, as Forbes found out in a recent perspective on how Expedia worked hotel fees, prices you see upfront might not be the price you pay at the end. Another smart move if you see a good room rate, is to call the hotel and ask if there will be any fees added when you check out.

One recent concern that arose was from travelers who voiced their displeasure with Airbnb policies that prevented them from canceling their reservations in Florida during Hurricane Ian, so take some extra time to pore through all of both Airbnb's and Vrbo's policies on situations like that so you don't get surprised.

To its credit, an Airbnb spokesperson told ConsumerAffairs that the company's site now has a search filter specifically for listings with flexible cancellation policies. "Guests who booked listings with these types of policies can cancel via that policy and get a full refund," the spokesperson said.

Car rentals: Rentalcars.com warns that rental car companies are notorious for hard sells and pulling tricks. Make sure you fully understand how all of those -- fuel policies, mileage limits, insurance -- will impact your billfold.

The bottom line?

The bottom line is that a "deal" isn't always a "deal." Yes, it's a pain, but read the fine print, look for text that's smaller than other text on a page and in a lighter color, make calls, use a service's online chat system, whatever you can do to make sure you fully understand all that's going to be charged to your credit card.

And keep a record of emails, chats, receipts, and whatever documentation you can lay your hands on because if there's ever a question, you'll have some proof to support your claim.

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Airfare deals are plentiful going into Memorial Day weekend

Memorial Day weekend is within reach. If you're itching to get out of town, there are plenty of good airfares available to consumers – especially when you consider the rising price of gas.

SkyScanner reports that the best day to depart for domestic U.S. trips is Saturday, May 28; the cheapest day to depart for international travel is Friday the 27th. Of the top 10 most popular airports to depart from, travelers departing from Las Vegas are getting the best deals, with the average price of a domestic Memorial Day Weekend trip costing $164.

Orlando is the number one destination booked for families and groups, while New York, Las Vegas, and Cancun take the first, second, and third spots for individuals and couples who want to travel. 

Consumers can find deals on some trips

The best average fares over the last month in the U.S. for Memorial Day travel include flights going to Fort Lauderdale, Orlando, Miami, Atlanta, and Tampa. The inverse is true for travelers leaving from Fort Lauderdale. On average, they get the best deals nationwide, with the average price of a ticket purchased over the last month costing $169 (direct, return).

“Savvy travelers are looking to enjoy the first Memorial Day Weekend in two years which will feel mostly normal, including for travel,” said Skyscanner's Mark Crossey.

Things are looking good for travelers who don’t mind a bit of jet lag and would like to see a bit of Europe.

“Of course, the domestic US features heavily in bookings for Memorial Day but we can see international favorites like London and Paris featuring higher in the top booked destinations this year as Americans venture over the pond in large numbers again," Crossey said. 

Consumers who give themselves a little breathing room for their return trip are also getting a better price over Memorial Day weekend. ConsumerAffairs found that travelers who choose to come back on Tuesday instead of Sunday or Monday could save $40 on a trip from Cincinnati to Denver and $30 on a trip from Chicago to Memphis.

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Hawaiian Airlines to provide free internet service to travelers

At a time when travelers are being asked to pay for almost anything an airline can turn into ancillary revenue, Hawaiian Airlines is taking a step in the other direction.

On Monday, the airline announced that it’s struck an agreement with Starlink – the satellite internet company operated by Elon Musk’s SpaceX – to provide complimentary broadband internet access to all guests onboard several of its aircraft that fly between the Hawaiian Islands and the continental U.S, Asia, Australia, and other countries. 

Timing is everything, and Hawaiian Airlines President and CEO Peter Ingram said the time had come to make internet access free.

“We waited until technology caught up with our high standards for guest experience, but it will be worth the wait,” Ingram said.

Jonathan Hofeller, SpaceX's Vice President of Starlink Commerical Sales, echoed Ingram's statement and said his company is ready to provide a premium service to consumers flying with Hawaiian Airlines.

“Hawaiian Airlines is ensuring its passengers will experience high-speed internet the way we expect it in the 21st century, making hassles like downloading movies before takeoff a relic of the past,” he said.

According to the announcement, the experience will be as simple as anyone could make it. Hofeller said passengers will be able to access the internet “seamlessly.” the moment they step onboard a plane.

Airlines put their best foot forward

Pent-up demand for travel is picking up now that some of the concerns linked to the COVID-19 pandemic have started to subside, and airlines have been bulking up their customer service to impress returning travelers as best they can.

When it comes to “value spent,” travel analysts recently found that Hawaiian Airlines offers the most rewards value. American Airlines is stepping up its own game by promising reliability. Southwest has also rolled out new fares, and Delta changed its rewards program to make it easier to gain elite status.

Angelina, from Sparks, Nevada, recently gave Hawaiian Airlines her vote of confidence based on a flight she took with her husband in January.

“We had the best experience in checking in. Everyone at the counter were very helpful and friendly. It’s been one of the best travel experience[s] we had. Cabin crews were also very friendly,” she wrote in a ConsumerAffairs review.

To read more reviews about the carrier, visit the company's ConsumerAffairs profile page here.

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Southwest Airlines announces new flexible fare levels

While U.S. airlines try to get the White House to lift its mask mandate for travelers, Southwest Airlines has decided to adjust its flight prices. With the weather turning warm and people wanting to break out of the winter doldrums, the low-cost airline – and traveler favorite – has announced a new fare that offers some new twists and might force other airlines to play catch-up.

The biggest benefits in Southwest’s new fare – Wanna Get Away Plus – include allowing customers to make a one-time transfer of eligible unused flight credit to a new traveler for future use, adding options for same-day confirmed change/same-day standby, and providing eight times more Rapid Rewards points.

To raise the bar even further, Southwest is giving its other fares some added advantages too. For example, Anytime fares will gain EarlyBird Check-In, Priority Lane, and Express Lane benefits. Tier Members (A-List /A-List Preferred Customers) will also now receive same-day confirmed change in addition to same-day standby.

“All of our competitors – and I mean all – went down the path of stripping away features [during the pandemic], and then, spun them back,” said Andrew Watterson, Southwest's executive vice president and chief commercial officer. “We’re not taking anything away.”

The new fares will become available sometime in late Spring 2022.

Airfares continue going up

The golden age of low fares that travelers have had their pick of over the last year or so is not over, but airfare prices are likely going up, says Scott Keyes of Scott’s Cheap Flights. Keyes predicts that average fares will rise at least 10%, but he told ConsumerAffairs that it will have little bearing on what you’ll pay for your next flight.

What does that mean? Keyes said if you look at flight prices now compared to the past 10 years, a modest 10% upswing will barely be felt. Airfares are currently up 12% over the past two years, but they’re down 40% over the past ten years.

Keyes notes that "average” fares are only interesting from an academic perspective and that they tell the consumer absolutely nothing about what they should expect to pay for their next flight.

“October is cheaper on average, but who cares? September is cheaper for what you would actually pay. This is the first problem with average fares: when the person sitting next to you overpaid for their ticket, that pushes up the average fare but doesn’t change anything about what you paid.

“That’s because of one immutable fact: you can't book average fares. You can only book *available* fares. The question is less ‘are average fares going up or down?’ and more ‘are cheap flights still popping up?’” Keyes said.

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Consumers can still find deals for Spring Break travel, new report suggests

If you’re looking for deals on a vacation anytime between March 7 and March 21, there are plenty to be had.

According to the travel booking app Hopper and its 2022 Spring Break Travel Report, domestic airfare costs for Spring Break are down 6% and international flights costs are 14% lower than pre-pandemic 2019. However, the site says those fares won't last for long.

In fact, prices could go up by 45% between now and the week before Spring Break if consumers don't act soon.

Where are people going?

If you want to visit a popular destination, here are some idea starters for places that airlines have good fares for:

Most Booked Destinations - Domestic (Round-Trip)

  • Miami, FL - $193

  • Las Vegas, NV - $252

  • Orlando, FL - $222

  • Ft. Lauderdale, FL - $190

  • Los Angeles, CA - $229

Most Booked Destinations - International (Round-Trip)

  • San Juan, Puerto Rico - $275

  • Cancun, Mexico - $320

  • Mexico City, Mexico - $346

  • Cabo, Mexico - $373

  • Paris, France - $537

Hopper also cited some of the best deals that it says are available on its app. Here are some of the domestic and international options.

Domestic (Round-Trip):

  • San Jose, CA ($262/round-trip, -14% from last week)

  • Asheville, NC ($251/round-trip, -12% from last week)

  • Portland, ME ($280/round-trip, -10% from last week)

  • Milwaukee, WI ($270/round-trip, -7% from last week)

  • Myrtle Beach, SC ($239/round-trip, -6% from last week)

International (Round-Trip)

  • Geneva, Switzerland ($544/round-trip, -13% from last week)

  • Buenos Aires, Argentina ($882/round-trip, -12% from last week)

  • Munich, Germany ($588/round-trip, -10% from last week)

  • Milan, Italy ($618/round-trip, -10% from last week)

  • Frankfurt, Germany ($578/round-trip, -9% from last week)

Travel prices follow supply and demand

When it comes to hotels, travelers should expect to pay about $165 per night, up 8% from February.

As far as rental car prices are concerned, travelers should expect to pay around $70 per day for a rental car. That's pretty much the same as Spring Break in 2021, and it should stay the same through mid-March. 

Travel prices are almost always a matter of supply and demand, so it would be a smart move to book domestic flights at least 3 weeks in advance. For international flights, book at least 3-4 weeks in advance so you can avoid high-priced last-minute fares. 

Hopper suggests booking hotels 1-2 weeks in advance if you're traveling to bigger cities like New York or Chicago. However, there are still deals to be had in big cities that have a lot of inventory of hotel rooms. 

While the travel industry is trying to get the White House to relax some of its travel requirements regarding vaccinations, nothing has changed yet. Masks on flights are still required, and passengers will need to be on their best behavior to avoid fines from the FAA.

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Airfare deals are still available during the pandemic, new survey shows

Inflation may be creeping in on almost everything a consumer buys, but a new analysis of departure cities shows that travelers who are willing to shift their plans a bit can still find a good deal.

While airfares plunged when travelers decided to stay close to home during the pandemic, a new study from ValuePenguin reveals that fares remain low at 98% of the U.S.’ largest airports. 

Where the deals are

In the researcher’s estimation, the two airports with the steepest price cuts are Newark Liberty International Airport in New Jersey and Pensacola International Airport in Florida. Flying out of either airport costs 30% less than it did before the pandemic.

To confirm that, ConsumerAffairs did a price comparison of its own by using Newark to Tampa vs. New York’s LaGuardia to Tampa. The results show that ValuePenguin is spot on. A flight from Newark to Tampa on Spirit could be had for $58 roundtrip, while flying out of LaGuardia was a smidge more expensive at $62. The difference in fares starts to widen a bit for flights that go further west to, say, San Francisco or San Diego.

As for flying out of Pensacola, ConsumerAffairs found decent airfares of $264 round trip to Boston, $134 to Dallas/Ft. Worth, and $220 round trip to Salt Lake City.

However, there are two things ConsumerAffairs discovered that might not make those seemingly great fares all that good. The first is the length of flights since cheaper fares often required more stops and layovers. The second is baggage and seat selection; adding those options makes fares rise incrementally.

This could change

Sophia Mendel, a ValuePenguin credit cards and travel rewards writer, suggests that these fares might be good at the moment. However, as mask restrictions ease and the Omicron variant starts a downward turn, more people will likely return to the skies and prices will go back up. Unfortunately, those prices will likely keep rising for the remainder of 2022.

"Fully vaccinated and boosted travelers who take the necessary precautions tend to feel that the risk of contracting COVID-19 while traveling is lower, and are therefore more comfortable flying," Mendel said.

Mendel pointed out that two markets are already above pre-pandemic prices – Hawaii’s Kahului and Ellison Onizuka Kona International Airport in Keahole. Other airports are starting to move quickly towards 2019 fares, including New Mexico's Albuquerque International Sunport, Wisconsin's Dane County Regional, and New York's Greater Rochester International.